(中文) Iphone13 PK Ipad Air 4 - 投資台灣電子處理器3034 欣興

2021-06-26·21 分鐘

本集介紹

蘋果新機開始拉貨,iPhone 13規格大提升,毫米波機型出貨比重大增,相機鏡頭規格也升級,有望帶動台積電(2330)、玉晶光(3406)等16檔蘋果概念股業績,股價也有望迎來漲勢。
包括華通、台積電、鴻準、台光電、美律、可成、大立光、欣興、晶技、景碩、玉晶光、臻鼎-KY、新普、頎邦、台郡、台表科等16檔iPhone概念股,有望受惠。
天風國際證券分析師郭明錤指出,展望2021~2023年,在智慧型手機品牌中,蘋果手機的成長能見度最佳,主要在於iPhone的生態優勢與帶動換機需求的產品策略奏效。


他正向看待蘋果iPhone產品策略,預期iPhone在2021與2022年將分別出貨2.3~2.4億與2.5~2.6億支,新機規格升及及在高階手機市占提升,將為iphone的成長動能。
富邦投顧解析,新iPhone除了AP升級到A15晶片和5G機型升級內有Qualcomm的X60基頻晶片外,iPhone12系列和iPhone13系列規格差異不會很大。
不過,富邦預估iPhone13毫米波機型比重將大幅增加,2021年毫米波iPhone出貨量8,800 萬支,較2020年為3,000萬支年增193%,占整體iPhone的40%。


因毫米波iPhone出貨量增加,相關軟板供應廠商如臻鼎-KY及台郡有望受惠。
且因iPhone13內毫米波天線數量增多,BT載板元件價值將從2.2美元上升到3美元,iPhone 12僅有三家供應商,分別為LG Innotek、景碩和三星電機,蘋果iPhone 13BT將增加兩家供應商,分別為欣興和AT&S。
相機部份,iPhone13超廣角鏡頭組升級到6P 以及FaceID Tx(臉部辨識發射端)鏡頭升級為塑膠鏡頭組,玉晶光應可享有鏡頭組擴增和規格升級的好處,並且從日本康達智(Kantatsu)手中搶下長焦鏡頭20%以上的配單比,同時,其毛利率可望隨7P產品良率提升而成長



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Apple’s new machine began to pull goods, the iPhone 13 specifications have greatly improved, the millimeter wave model shipments have increased significantly, and the camera lens specifications have also been upgraded. It is expected to drive the performance of 16 Apple concept stocks such as TSMC (2330) and Yujingguang (3406). It is also expected to usher in an uptrend.

Including Huatong, TSMC, Hongzhun, Taiwan Optoelectronics, Meilu, Catcher, Largan, Xinxing, Jingjing, Jingshuo, Yujingguang, Zhending-KY, Xinpu, Qibang, Taiwan County, Taiwan Watch 16 iPhone concept stocks such as Keke are expected to benefit.

Guo Mingchi, an analyst at Tianfeng International Securities, pointed out that looking forward to 2021-2023, among the smart phone brands, Apple's mobile phone has the best growth visibility, mainly due to the iPhone's ecological advantages and the effectiveness of the product strategy to drive replacement demand.

He is looking at Apple’s iPhone product strategy. He expects that the iPhone will ship 230-240 million and 250-260 million units in 2021 and 2022, respectively. The increase in the specifications of the new phone and the increase in the market share of high-end mobile phones will be the growth momentum for the iPhone. .

Fubon Investment Advisor analyzed that, except for the AP upgrade to the A15 chip and the 5G model upgrade with Qualcomm's X60 baseband chip in the new iPhone, the specifications of the iPhone12 series and iPhone13 series will not be very different.

However, Fubon predicts that the proportion of iPhone 13 millimeter wave models will increase significantly. In 2021, millimeter wave iPhone shipments will be 88 million units, an annual increase of 193% from 30 million units in 2020, accounting for 40% of the overall iPhone.

Due to the increase in millimeter wave iPhone shipments, related soft board suppliers such as Zhending-KY and Taijun are expected to benefit.

And because of the increase in the number of millimeter wave antennas in the iPhone 13, the value of BT carrier board components will rise from US$2.2 to US$3. There are only three suppliers for the iPhone 12, namely LG Innotek, Kingsus and Samsung Electro-Mechanics. Apple’s iPhone 13BT will increase by two. The suppliers are Xinxing and AT&S.

For the camera, the iPhone13 ultra-wide-angle lens group has been upgraded to 6P and the FaceID Tx (face recognition transmitter) lens has been upgraded to a plastic lens group. Yujingguang should enjoy the benefits of lens group expansion and specification upgrades, and from Japan Kantatsu (Kantatsu) Grab the ratio of more than 20% of the telephoto lens in hand, and at the same time, its gross profit rate is expected to grow with the increase in the yield of 7P products




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